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Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Same to all of us. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. You Shouldn't Be Alive. The Odds of You Existing Are Basically | by This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Its maddening to see people worry so much. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. But lets think about this some more. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. Are they gross exaggerations? dr ali binazir odds of being born - mashroubs.com It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. The odds of being born - Lottoland You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. dr ali binazir odds of being born. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Or stalk me (with love.). One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. You get the volume of planet Earth. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. Love and the empowered woman: Dr. Ali Binazir at TEDxFiDiWomen You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Are You Totally Improbable Or Totally Inevitable? In other words, as this infographic figures it,. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. Step 2. dr ali binazir odds of being born - c-vineretirement.com Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. Why? : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. You have lived your life. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. Wowser. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Borel's Law of Probability - Owlcation It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. Opportunity - livebendy.com Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. Which ones bigger? It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. A lovely day to you. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. This includes personalizing content and advertising. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. Your email address will not be published. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. Ali Binazir | Armchair Economist Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . Want to Read. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. Thats going to take a LONG time. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). That's a pretty straightforward calculation. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . So far, so good. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. You Are a Miracle, 1 in 400 Quadrillion or more - LinkedIn Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Then the probability of Mr. This button displays the currently selected search type. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. Step 4. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? Dr. Ali Binazir | TheCarolinaCowboy If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Why? You may think You say that to everyone!. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. The Odds of You Being You - linkedin.com Dr. Ali Binazir, Happiness Engineer | Modern Science and Ancient Wisdom Hello there! 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. Whoa. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Are You a Miracle? -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. dr ali binazir odds of being born - thlf.us In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. June 5. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. Step 4. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Think of yourself as dead. Are they gross exaggerations? That's a pretty straightforward calculation. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. chances of being born Archives - Happiness Engineering with Dr Ali Binazir He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. I hope you use your chance well. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. Maybe that one would have been better. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. dr ali binazir odds of being born - manoharinternational.com Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific.