Gordon (and Maitan) just keeps slipping as hes moved up, been exposed, however you want to put it. These rankings of all 30 . Chicago White Sox2021 midseason rank: 302021 preseason rank: 162020 midseason rank: 62020 preseason rank: 11Top 100 Prospects: none, Though the White Sox rank last again, their system was a mainstay in the top 10 from 2017-20 and cranked out a lot of talent en route to the first back-to-back playoff appearances in franchise history. Individual prospect successes sell jerseys. 44), Jeter Downs (No. 3B Cam Collier (Tier 1)5. Previous work can also be found at Sports On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider. 14), Triston Casas (No. Texas is the club whose ranking Id most drastically tweak if I were doing these ranking by hand. Toronto Blue Jays2020 midseason rank: 72020 preseason rank: 16Top 100 Prospects: Nate Pearson (No. Arizona Diamondbacks2021 midseason rank: 92021 preseason rank: 92020 midseason rank: 9Top 100 Prospects: Alek Thomas (No. RHP Luis Ortiz (Tier 2)6. Id agree that upper minors level 40s and such may be viewed with a critical eye, but low level guys there just because theyre still low level guys and not top picks or IFA signs just shows caution in the grading. Its much more difficult to draft/sign a guy whos 50 right from the start. Gorman already moved to second base to get out of the All-Stars shadow, and depending on how that transition goes, he could assume that role in the Majors quickly in 2022. They have some strength up the middle (led by fellow Top 100 prospect Gunnar Henderson), added another first-rounder to the Top 100 coffers with Colton Cowser last year, and thanks to aggressive drafting and a renewed presence in Latin America, this system is both deep and top-heavy. I . More , 4. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. More . C Daniel Susac (Tier 2)6. RHP Clayton Beeter (Tier 3)10. Detmers is set to build off a season in which he dominated the Minors and made his Major League debut, but the majority of the system features prospects years away from reaching Los Angeles. ESPN. . The aim for the future is to enable you to toggle recent graduates on and off when youre looking at the live rankings, giving you more of a young players ranking than one that only cares about prospect-eligible players. RHP Sean Burke (Tier 3)9. RHP Bryce Miller (Tier 2)4. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. It seems like they are valued more like 42 and 62. This is a very barebones model, but both results are lower than I would have guessed. SS Noelvi Marte (Tier 1)3. RHP Cole Wilcox (Tier 3)9. Sign up to receive our daily Morning Lineup to stay in the know about the latest trending topics around Major League Baseball. While this represents their lowest ranking since we started rating systems in 2015, recent first-rounders such as 2B Michael Busch, 3B Kody Hoese and RHP Bobby Miller headline a number of prospects on the rise. All 30 Top Prospect lists are now in the books. RHP Daniel Espino (Tier 1)2. These will fluctuate and change shortly. RHP Gunnar Hoglund (Tier 2)9. Running the numbers on the Padres system, the paint on which is mostly dry, shows that they wont even come close to surpassing Tampa Bay, and will likely fall short by well over $100 million. As players are traded and drafted over the next few weeks, or if their Future Value grade changes throughout the rest of the season, those alterations will be found in the 2022 Updated option on the dropdown menu. Heres an example: I like big-framed, projectable players. All stats courtesy of Baseball Reference and FanGraphs. 91)Top 2021 rookie: Leody Taveras, OF, The rebuilding Rangers have changed gears a bit, and many of their top farmhands exude more polish than their high-risk, high-reward prospects of recent years. The farm systems that havent yet had their fresh and thorough annual examination (snaps latex glove) are highlighted in yellow on the Farm Ranking tab, with the asset values of their 2020 top 100 prospects the sole driver of their placement right now. Deep, well-rounded farm systems help Major League clubs win ballgames. 3B James Triantos (Tier 3), 1. Despite sacrificing 14 prospects -- including Top 100 guys Roansy Contreras and Ezequiel Duran -- in trades for Joey Gallo, Andrew Heaney, Clay Holmes, Anthony Rizzo and Jameson Taillon last year, the Yankees still have plenty of Minor League depth. 1B/OF Heriberto Hernandez (Tier 3)8. Left-handers Aaron Ashby and Ethan Small are knocking on the door. More , 29. More , 30. LHP Dax Fulton (Tier 3)7. 63), Kyle Harrison (No. SS Oswald Peraza (Tier 1)4. 87)Top 2021 rookie: Nate Pearson, RHP, The Blue Jays are No. 96)Top 2021 rookie: Justin Topa, RHP, The Brewers have multiple players on the Top 100 for the first time since 2018, giving them two up-the-middle premium to lead a Top 30 thats almost entirely homegrown (29 of the Top 30) and has a lot more bats (21) than arms (nine). OF Matt Wallner (Tier 2)6. The Cubs are another organization that could look a lot better a year from now as we get a better handle on the fruits of their 2015 IFA spending spree. 65), Brice Turang (No. OF Gabriel Gonzalez (Tier 2)6. 7 despite graduating the likes of Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette and Cavan Biggio in recent years. Theres a new wave of 40s from every draft and signing period. OF Justin Dirden (Tier 2)6. 32), Clarke Schmidt (No. Jobe will have a longer road as a high-school pitcher, but the arsenal is there for him to become an ace. 26), Trevor Larnach (No. 90), Starting out with two players in the top six -- the best catching prospect in No. 11), Riley Greene (No. C Yainer Daz, (Tier 1)3. RHP Quinn Priester (Tier 1)5. 4 overall Draft pick (their earliest choice since 1967), and the emergence of Nick Yorke, their first-rounder from the year before. More , 3. These rankings provide a current snapshot of the farm systems before Longenhagen and McDaniel embark on their winter-long reveal of team prospect rankings. Frelick, Wiemer (more of a slugging type) and Garrett Mitchell sit as three of the top four talents in the Brewers pipeline, and with all three headed for the middle levels in 2022, it isnt difficult to envision them occupying the three outfield spots of American Family Field in the years to come. Just as with the player rankings within each org, the farm system order is live, updating instantly in the event of a trade, signing, Rule 5 pick return, or other transaction. 2), Grayson Rodriguez, RHP (No. LHP Blake Walston (Tier 3)9. Witt is Kansas Citys only Top 50 overall prospect, hurting the system slightly in this set of rankings. RHP Ryne Nelson (Tier 2)7. Tampa Bay Rays2021 midseason rank: 62021 preseason rank: 12020 midseason rank: 12020 preseason rank: 1Top 100 Prospects: Shane Baz (No. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. The Rockies boast nine international signings on the list, topped by shortstop Ezequiel Tovar, who has impressed this spring and could rise with a strong season. 80), The Jays are gearing up for a potential title run in 2022, and their systems drop over the years due to graduations and trades reflects the moves of a win-now organization. Several outlets, including Bleacher Report and Prospects1500, peg the Royals' farm . SS Brady House (Tier 2)6. 13), Matthew Liberatore (No. Deck McGuire / SP. The Dodgers have the No. He spent four years working for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate, two with Baseball Info Solutions and two contributing to prospect coverage at ESPN.com. Post-MLB-trade-deadline farm system rankings for all 30 teams. 83)Top 2021 rookie: Joey Bart, C, Now that theyve embraced rebuilding, the Giants have assembled their best group of prospect talent since Buster Posey, Madison Bumgarner and Co. were about to start winning World Series titles. 82), Hunter Bishop (No. 53), Gabriel Arias (No. 92), Taylor Trammell (No. The Dodgers -- big spenders but also high-quality developers in the Minor Leagues -- finished in the top three of the 2019 midseason and 2020 preseason lists before capturing their World Series crown two years ago. More , 30. C/1B Tyler Soderstrom (Tier 1)2. Puk is ready to follow them and make a major contribution in Oakland this year, with younger talent like 2020 first-rounder Tyler Soderstrom and 2019 international signee Robert Puason hoping to lead the next wave. More , 26. The way I understand it, a 50FV prospect is expected to be an average major league starter and average 2 WAR/season. Just as a quick noteif youve set it up to automatically update from the draft prospects list, that list might be out of date. But then you have 55 being closer to 60 than 50 and a 60 or 65 arm is better than a 60 or 65 bat the only values where that is true. lose rookie eligibility within this season) will move from the 2022 Updated page to the 2022 Graduates page, which already includes the players who have played enough this season to move off the prospect end of things. 3B Miguel Vargas (Tier 1)4. 19), Jordan Lawlar (No. OF Alex Ramirez (Tier 1)5. 58), JJ Bleday (No. 67), Andy Pages (No. SS Elly De La Cruz (Tier 1)2. Baltimore Orioles 2021 midseason rank: 1 2021 preseason rank: 5 2020 midseason rank: 8 2020 preseason rank: 13 64), Colton Cowser, OF (No. RHP Hunter Brown (Tier 1)2. 61), Austin Wells (No. OF Miguel Bleis (Tier 2)5. OF Heston Kjerstad (Tier 2)8. RHP Tanner Bibee (Tier 2)8. SS Jordan Westburg (Tier 1)7. 54), Roansy Contreras (No. Right-handers Jack Leiter, Cole Winn and Owen White headline what might be Texas' best group of pitching prospects ever. 59), There's still room for improvement, but the Oakland system is much more robust than it was a year ago. SS Trey Sweeney (Tier 3)9. The best 55 and the worst 50 would have a huge difference. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. A year ago, the Rays Top 100 contingent boasted Wander Franco, Luis Patio, Randy Arozarena and Shane McClanahan. OF Roman Anthony (Tier 3)8. 45 is much closer to 40 than 50. 65), Atlantas current rank can be attributed to the graduations of talented players making up the core of its 2021 World Series-winning roster and the acquisition of Matt Olson this offseason, which cost the team Shea Langeliers, Cristian Pache, Ryan Cusick and Joey Estes. SS Jett Williams (Tier 2)8. OF Oscar Cols (Tier 1)3. 51), Tyler Freeman (No. SS Michael Arroyo (Tier 3)10. RHP Ben Brown (Tier 2)8. OF George Valera (Tier 1)4. 9 as the farm system continues to become more balanced on both sides of the ball. C Korey Lee (Tier 2)5. RHP Owen Murphy (Tier 3)4. 21), The Angels have seemingly had fleeting Minor League depth for years but have produced high-ceiling players in Jared Walsh, Jo Adell, Brandon Marsh and Shohei Ohtani, the 2021 AL MVP. First and most importantly, here is a primer to remind you of the features of the rankings and here is Craig Edwards research on prospect valuation that helped inform our rankings methodology. Matthew Postins Feb 4, 2023. assessment is a thing we need to nail down. 30)Top 2021 rookie: Daniel Lynch, LHP, For the second straight year, shortstop phenom Bobby Witt Jr. headlines the Royals Top 30. Now they are giving all players of the same grade, the same value. Detroit Tigers2020 midseason rank: 22020 preseason rank: 5Top 100 Prospects: Spencer Torkelson (No. OF Cristhian Vaquero (Tier 2)7. 94)Top 2021 rookie: Khalil Lee, OF, The Mets lost six of their Top 30 prospects from this time last year due to trades, hurting the overall depth of the system. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. LHP Ky Bush (Tier 2)5. Seattle Mariners2020 midseason rank: 42020 preseason rank: 9Top 100 Prospects: Jarred Kelenic (No. IF Werner Blakely (Tier 3)9. 18), Corbin Carroll (No. 50), Taj Bradley (No. As with the big league club, many of the organization's top prospects hail from Cuba: slugging outfielders Oscar Colas and Yoelqui Cspedes, right-hander Norge Vera, infielders Bryan Ramos and Yolbert Sanchez. OF Sterlin Thompson (Tier 3)10. RHP Wilmer Flores (Tier 1)3. Based on where they are on the current rankings, how much draft capital they have, and their pre-deadline posture as sellers, Id guess that Baltimore, Pittsburgh, and Arizona will be the top three systems after the trade deadline, with Cincinnati a dark horse candidate to climb into that area if they get a huge haul for Luis Castillo. RHP AJ Smith-Shawver (Tier 3)3. the numbers kind of add up. RHP Eury Prez (Tier 1)2. LHP Connor Prielipp (Tier 2)7. C Jeferson Quero (Tier 3)9. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted
Martinez and Groshans lead a charge of multi-positional infielders -- a group that includes eight of the clubs top 14 prospects. Depth and talent were the biggest factors in ranking each team. Baty and Mauricio face some questions about their future defensive homes, in part due to the organizational depth chart, and that goes double for impressive slugger Mark Vientos, the clubs No. 30), Nolan Gorman (No. 1. More , 22. When Wander Franco graduates, they will still have a $100 million gap between them and where the next tier starts, though if some of their other recently added prospects stick on the big league roster for the rest of the year, their system will fall back to the pack. With a projectable 6'9" frame and the makings of a lethal fastball-slider combination, The Philadelphia system is headlined by two of baseball's best pitching prospects in, Shortstop Jose Salaswho was No. Houston Astros2020 midseason rank: 272020 preseason rank: 28Top 100 Prospects: Forrest Whitley (No. But last fall, Tampa Bay watched as Randy Arozarena electrified the postseason, and then snagged Luis Patio from San Diego to bolster its case even more and lead baseball with eight Top 100 prospects. If you look at guys 28 or older (the guys who will be falling off the list) there are only 40. OF Vaun Brown (Tier 3), 1. This is fantasticthanks. 80), Jordan Balazovic (No. After promoting so many prospects for 2022, MLB.com dropped Kansas City's farm system down to 21st overall. 2B Nick Yorke (Tier 2)6. The deep system also features several intriguing pitching talents, including five among its top 10 prospects. LHP Frank Mozzicato (Tier 3)10. Look at last year's Fall Classic. SS Ronny Mauricio (Tier 2)6. OF James Wood (Tier 1)3. As such, Im more likely to prefer a system that has players like that, and am also more likely to grade those players highly as individuals prospects. RHP Gavin Stone (Tier 1)6. RHP Bobby Miller (Tier 1)3. The White Sox (mid-2017) and Padres (pre-2018 through mid-2019) both ended long postseason droughts a year ago and are among the favorites to reach the World Series this October, just as the Rays (pre-2020 and mid-2020 through pre-2021) did last October. C Drake Baldwin (Tier 3), 1. The first three teams to sit atop our rankings -- the Cubs (pre-2015), Red Sox (mid-2015) and Dodgers (pre-2016) -- have won World Series championships. 29), Cole Winn (No. More , 21. That brings me to the Farm System Rankings, which are now live on the site. 11), George Kirby, RHP (No. Armed with a high-octane fastball and a . 67), Matt Allan (No. More . OF Lazaro Montes (Tier 3)8. With recent first-rounders Henry Davis, Nick Gonzales and Quinn Priester playing in the same system as trade acquisitions such as Oneil Cruz, Roansy Contreras, Liover Peguero and Endy Rodriguez, theres reason to have faith that the Jolly Roger is rising. "The Blue Jays feature a young prospect group," BA's blurb said . RHP Garrett Hawkins (Tier 3), 1. More , 8. 40), Garrett Crochet (No. Washington Nationals2020 midseason rank: 302020 preseason rank: 29Top 100 Prospects: Cade Cavalli (No. The system is ranked among MLB's Top 10 for the first time since 2017. The testing set is simply not the same as the training data. 1. RHP Randy Vasquez (Tier 3), 1. SS Matt McLain (Tier 2)8. OF Gabriel Rincones Jr. (Tier 3)8. RHP Cade Horton (Tier 3)9. New York Mets2020 midseason rank: 202020 preseason rank: 20Top 100 Prospects: Francisco Alvarez (No. SS Jackson Merrill (Tier 1)2. 3B Zack Gelof (Tier 2)4. Pre-Draft Farm System Rankings | FanGraphs Baseball Pre-Draft Farm System Rankings by Eric Longenhagen July 9, 2021 MLB Draft Week 2021 Mock Draft 2.0 What Goes on in Draft Rooms 2021. 34), Vidal Brujan (No. SS Brayan Rocchio (Tier 1)6. More , 25. 1B/OF Dustin Harris (Tier 3), 1. RHP Andrew Painter (Tier 1)2. OF Gavin Cross (Tier 1)2. 2. Monetary values are also a great common denominator by which to start comparing players and assets like pool space and comp picks that we otherwise could not, and Craigs values could one day help us build our version of a trade machine here at the site. Top 10 Prospects 1. Those are three high-ceiling bats who could easily form the middle of a New York lineup by the end of 2023. RHP Cole Phillips (Tier 3) 6. 20), Henry Davis (No. RHP Cade Cavalli (Tier 1)5. Matt Allan remains the groups best pitching prospect. The big league club may also get substantial contributions from the newly acquired Brandon Williamson, while the likes of Elly De La Cruz, Matt McClain and Chase Petty (the get in the Sonny Gray trade) will intrigue in the Minors. While top prospect Kahlil Watson will need a few years to develop at shortstop after Miami stole him with the 16th overall pick last July, right-handers Edward Cabrera and Max Meyer could join the big league rotation in 2022 -- with wunderkind Eury Perez not far behind. With Alek Thomas and Corbin Carroll atop the list, its easy to get excited about the future outfield. I like how the Padres and Dodgers are already ranked #4 and #5 despite not ranking the rest of the system. Cincinnati Reds2021 midseason rank: 102021 preseason rank: 202020 midseason rank: 222020 preseason rank: 24Top 100 Prospects: Hunter Greene (No. SS Anthony Volpe (Tier 1)2. If you wanted an across the board adjustment, I would think age (or a proxy for age minor league level?) SS Adrian Placencia (Tier 3), 1. Weve considered factors such as potential impact talent, depth, proximity to the big leagues and balance between position players and pitchers as well as ceilings and floors. C Dillon Dingler (Tier 2)9. 89), The Rangers signed Corey Seager and Marcus Semien to bolster their lineup, and their farm system should give the club a huge boost in the next couple of years. Pittsburgh Pirates2021 midseason rank: 42021 preseason rank: 82020 midseason rank: 162020 preseason rank: 15Top 100 Prospects: Nick Gonzales (No. Atlanta Braves2021 midseason rank: 232021 preseason rank: 152020 midseason rank: 152020 preseason rank: 8Top 100 Prospects: Michael Harris II (No. Fourth-ranked Seattle has a top-heavy system with lots of star power, but they and eighth-ranked Detroit lack depth compared to the other orgs in this orbit. Miami Marlins2021 midseason rank: 32021 preseason rank: 42020 midseason rank: 52020 preseason rank: 4Top 100 Prospects: Kahlil Watson (No. After ranking the top 100 prospects heading into the 2022 MLB season, it's time to turn our attention to each team's farm system as a whole. Be on the lookout for that stuff and thanks for your continued support of FanGraphs.